Maclean'sJanuary 27, 1997The Mail(Letters to the Editor)[selected letters]It wasn't until I read _Apollo: The Race to the Moon_ by Charles
Murray and Catherine Cox, a history of the engineers who worked
on the American moon-landing mission, that I realized the story
of the Arrow is one of the world's great what-ifs. The authors
quote a source who thought that the flood of suddenly unemployed
world-class aerospace engineers from Canada was essential in
meeting U.S. president John F. Kennedy's commitment to landing
humans on the Moon. What if the Canadians hadn't gone to the
States? What if the Russians had landed on the Moon first and
established a permanent presence? Would the space race have
continued and would space today be a battleground? The Avro did
not just alter history; its demise was pivotal in what many would
consider the pivotal event of this century.
That the cost of the Arrow spiralled out of control is a matter
of record: to $9 million per aircraft from $1.5 million within a
period of five years. As for the F-101 McDonnell Voodoo fighters
(which the Royal Canadian Air Force acquired in 1961) being
"barely capable of breaking the sound barrier," that plane
already held the world speed record of 1.83 times the speed of
sound. And it is not very likely that the CIA was nervous about
the prospect of a foreign aircraft outperforming its top secret
U2 spy plane. This high-altitude, subsonic reconnaissance
aircraft bore no relation whatever to a supersonic fighter. I
never heard my National Research Council colleagues predict that
the Arrow would not achieve supersonic speed, as recalled by
former Avro engineer James Floyd. But in any event, it was not
the performance of the aircraft that is significant; the Arrow
was doomed for other reasons. The unrealistic notion of an
independent role for the RCAF in the defence of North America
yielded a specification for a complex and expensive weapon system
for a national market too small to support the necessary research
and development. The success of Canada's aeronautical design -
from Pratt and Whitney engines, de Havilland Beavers and Dashes,
and Canadair jets - can be seen in the skies of many countries;
there is no need to invoke the Arrow episode to prove it.
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